Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000216 0.000242 0.000269 0.000301 0.000336 0.000374 0.000418
2025-02-02 0.000187 0.000223 0.000264 0.000314 0.000373 0.000442 0.000527
2025-02-09 0.000161 0.000203 0.000253 0.000318 0.000400 0.000499 0.000630
2025-02-16 0.000141 0.000186 0.000244 0.000321 0.000424 0.000555 0.000736
2025-02-23 0.000124 0.000171 0.000233 0.000321 0.000442 0.000604 0.000836
2025-03-02 0.000108 0.000155 0.000220 0.000315 0.000452 0.000641 0.000925
2025-03-09 0.000096 0.000144 0.000211 0.000313 0.000466 0.000685 0.001026
2025-03-16 0.000087 0.000135 0.000204 0.000313 0.000482 0.000733 0.001136
2025-03-23 0.000080 0.000127 0.000199 0.000315 0.000500 0.000783 0.001254
2025-03-30 0.000073 0.000119 0.000191 0.000313 0.000511 0.000825 0.001362
2025-04-06 0.000067 0.000114 0.000187 0.000315 0.000529 0.000878 0.001491
2025-04-13 0.000062 0.000108 0.000183 0.000316 0.000545 0.000928 0.001620
2025-04-20 0.000057 0.000101 0.000176 0.000312 0.000553 0.000968 0.001740
2025-04-27 0.000055 0.000100 0.000179 0.000325 0.000594 0.001067 0.001972
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000096 0.000176 0.000330 0.000618 0.001141 0.002166
2025-05-11 0.000048 0.000093 0.000174 0.000333 0.000641 0.001212 0.002364
2025-05-18 0.000045 0.000088 0.000169 0.000333 0.000655 0.001270 0.002540
2025-05-25 0.000041 0.000083 0.000162 0.000327 0.000659 0.001308 0.002681
2025-06-01 0.000038 0.000079 0.000158 0.000325 0.000671 0.001361 0.002858
2025-06-08 0.000036 0.000075 0.000154 0.000325 0.000687 0.001424 0.003060
2025-06-15 0.000034 0.000072 0.000152 0.000326 0.000705 0.001493 0.003282
2025-06-22 0.000031 0.000069 0.000148 0.000324 0.000715 0.001547 0.003475
2025-06-29 0.000030 0.000067 0.000146 0.000326 0.000735 0.001622 0.003722